October has been a jarring month for U.S. stocks. But one strategist is calling a bottom and says it’s an opportune time to buy a few of the struggling sectors.
S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 relative to their 50- and 200-day moving averages. Based on those trends, Lee said “the bottom is here” and predicts that equities will rally 10 percent-plus into year-end.
“The prevalence of these 4 oversold conditions (50D/200D for S&P 500/Russell 2000) is a major tactical signal and we would be aggressive buyers,” Lee said.
As far as which sectors to buy, Lee said what “fell the hardest will bounce the most.” In October’s sell-off, the biggest laggards were Industrials, Energy, Materials, Tech and Consumer Discretionary.
“The message is to get aggressive and buy what was clobbered. And to rotate out of the Defensives,” Lee said.
To be sure, Lee said there could still be a market meltdown driven by “a complete loss of confidence.”
Major averages are still on pace for sharp October losses, under pressure from U.S.-China trade disputes, rising interest rates and worries about corporate earnings growth. Stocks did rise sharply Wednesday for a second straight day, helped by solid earnings from General Motors and Facebook.
Lee’s quant model found 23 comeback stock candidates, including Home Depot, Boeing, Caterpillar and Microsoft.