Wednesday, November 14, 2018


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A horrible October for energy stocks sent the group sharply lower for the year, but the sell-off has not deterred all investors from the oil trade.

Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management, said on CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. “For example, Chevron and Exxon are both yielding more than 3 percent at this point and with higher crude they should actually print better numbers going forward.”

The XLE energy ETF offers a 2.65 percent dividend yield, above the 1.85 percent yield for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. Chevron yields 4 percent, while Exxon yields 4.1 percent.

“If you basically assume that energy is not a secular short, that we’re still going to be using oil going forward, both of these companies should bounce really nicely going forward,” said Schlossberg.

The XLE closed October with a monthly loss of 11 percent, its worst month since September 2011. Prior to October, the ETF had surged 5 percent.

Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Jaffray, also sees the sector offering some protection against a volatile market.

Investors are “looking for the escalators down, not the elevators down in this market. It’s been a rough October,” Johnson said on “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. “When you look at the energy names, it’s a sector that hadn’t performed very well but we’re starting to see the relative performance of energy pick up.”

Exxon Mobil’s performance, in particular, suggest building momentum that could turn into a breakout, says Johnson.

“Exxon Mobil looks like a name that’s been consolidating when you look at that chart over the past couple of years,” Johnson said. “From our perspective, those kinds of charts usually resolve themselves to the upside, not the downside.”

Chevron and Exxon could see some near-term volatility following their earnings releases Friday morning. Analysts expect Chevron to post a nearly 30 percent increase in sales, while Exxon is forecast to report 14 percent sales growth.

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