Monday, December 10, 2018


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Noted investor Mark Mobius is betting that the U.S-China trade war is not coming to an end.

Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to a 90-day cease-fire in the trade war, which has been weighing on U.S. stocks, as well as on emerging markets.

On Monday, U.S. stocks rallied on the news , while emerging market shares hit a two-month high. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF closed the day 2 percent higher.

Mobius has been bullish on emerging markets, telling CNBC in July that those equities are cheap and are poised to profit from the trade war. He is standing by that call now, especially since he thinks the trade battle isn’t finished.

“The emerging markets, outside of China, will probably benefit from this trade war because a lot of the production will be transferred from China,” he said Monday on “Closing Bell.”

Trade war winners

Brazil, in particular, will be a winner because it is in the same time zone as the U.S. and it has “pretty good manufacturing capabilities,” Mobius noted.

Countries that have suffered an incredible decline in currency will also be in play. For one, “Turkey needs foreign exchange very badly,” he said.

Bangladesh will benefit from garment manufacturing and Vietnam from shoe manufacturers, he said.

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